How to avoid getting stuck in a position for too long?
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What's the secret to a successful trade? Every trader probably says: to make money on the stock exchange, you need to guess where the price will go. Indeed, there's no other way. However, guessing the direction is not enough: to make money on the stock exchange, you need to know not only where the price of a stock or cryptocurrency will go, but also when it will go there.
In trading, the saying "time = money" is as true as anything: if you enter a position and the market doesn't move in your favor, your funds are essentially "frozen."
While you're stuck with a loss, other instruments are rising, not to mention the fact that in some cases you have to pay to hold the trade.
Besides, every second spent in a trade imposes additional risks! The longer you're in a trade, the greater the likelihood that some news or report will be released regarding your instrument, which could ultimately result in you being knocked out by a stop loss.
So what should you do? To avoid getting stuck in a position on the exchange, you must avoid the accumulation phase. To avoid this phase, you need to consider the ATP (or reserve).
If the reserve runs out, there's a high probability that the distribution phase will end and the instrument will go into a correction. To measure the trading range, we open a background timeframe and measure the length of the wave from the high to the low.
A beginner trader should know that it's important to take the highest and lowest points, taking into account the tails. We compare the last 3-4 waves: the ATR will be equal to their arithmetic mean. The more trading range you have, the more attractive the trade. Naturally, the best trade is one in which you manage to catch the move at its very beginning: this ensures the shortest stop order, and therefore the highest expected value. The opposite is also true: if the market has moved more than 70% of the ATR, it's not worth entering a trade, as the market will most likely begin to accumulate soon.
On the exchange, not every flat is an accumulation, meaning the distribution phase does not begin after every flat. Sometimes a flat is associated with a lack of trading activity: there is neither a strong buyer nor a strong seller who could push the price up. How can you tell the difference? It's simple: if you see increasing volume and spikes appearing at the edges of a flat, you're looking at accumulation. It's also worth remembering that the accumulation phase doesn't always occur as a flat.
Quite often, after distribution, we can see a pullback: a low-volatility movement in the opposite direction from the trend wave. Most often, pullbacks end at 50% of the trend wave. Accumulations can be extremely lengthy, so it's important to learn how and when they might end. Most often, accumulation is traded through liquidity capture, where excess passengers are "unloaded" from the market, after which the market immediately begins to move in the direction of the trend.
00:00 Hello
1:25 About the author
2:18 What's the secret to a successful trade?
4:04 Why shouldn't you get stuck in a position?
8:53 How to avoid the accumulation phase?
10:48 Movement mechanics and ATR movements
20:15 How to measure movement smell and ATR
24:54 Movement reserve and the quality of your trades
29:37 Flat and accumulation
38:23 Accumulation through a pullback
45:58 Liquidity capture and its mechanics
53:04 Entry signals and their mechanics
1:04:28 When to enter without a signal
1:06:12 Live trading with Artem Zvezdin
1:10:26 False narrowing and expansion
1:14:04 How much did Zvezdin earn on cryptocurrency?
1:16:00 Where can I get delta?
1:19:44 Which ATR indicator should I use?
:- Hello, my name is Artem Zvezdin. I have been involved in the securities market since 2008. I am a qualified investor and hold a Central Bank certificate. I'm involved in trading, or as they say now, trading and investing.
Since 2012, I've been sharing my experience and skills with others on this YouTube channel, "Smart-Investor." In my trading, I primarily use simple techniques based on VSA (or simply volume analysis) and price action (or price analysis, or technical analysis). My channel already has about 6...