What awaits apartment prices in 2025-2030? STRONG property price forecast!

Опубликовано: 03 Май 2026
на канале: Maciej Gołębiewski
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Real Estate Prices in Poland to 2030 – My Projections. Based on available analyses (reports from the National Bank of Poland, banks, institutes, and market experts), three scenarios for the development of the situation to 2030 can be outlined: baseline, optimistic, and pessimistic. The forecasts take into account the main cities (Warsaw, Krakow, Wrocław, Gdańsk) and the national average, distinguishing between the primary and secondary markets, and discussing the impact of housing segmentation (studios, 2-room apartments, 3+ rooms). In the video, I present detailed assumptions for each scenario, preceded by an analysis of the key factors influencing prices.

Note: Forecasting housing prices for such a long period is subject to significant uncertainty – the presented scenarios are only estimates, and actual trends may differ from the assumptions.

Investing in real estate and purchasing an investment apartment requires thorough market analysis and knowledge of current trends. In this video, I discuss the real estate price forecast in Poland and what to consider before purchasing an apartment for rental purposes. You'll learn what mistakes to avoid to ensure your investment is safe and profitable both now and in the years to come.

I also discuss issues related to rental profitability, choosing a location, and assessing the potential for property appreciation. If you're interested in real estate price forecasts and want to consciously buy an investment apartment, this article is for you.

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00:00 Real estate prices until 2030 — my projections
02:01 My BASE scenario
07:02 My OPTIMISTIC scenario
12:41 My PESSIMISTIC scenario
17:19 Price projection for the primary market
18:30 Price projection for the secondary market
19:27 The years 2025-2027 will be crucial for prices
22:53 Comparison of the primary and secondary markets
24:11 Prices in Warsaw — my real estate price projections until 2030
26:04 Krakow — my real estate price projections until 2030
26:42 Wrocław — my real estate price projections until 2030
27:21 Gdańsk — my real estate price projections until 2030
28:05 Large cities, other cities, and price variation
30:30 My conclusions and how to approach buying an apartment?