Albert-László Barabási is a leading physicist in the field of network theory. He argues that in the world of contemporary art, it is possible to predict the success of an artist's career 10-20 years in advance without even knowing what their work will look like. To make such a prediction, it is sufficient to evaluate the results of the artist's first five exhibitions. Afterward, according to Barabási's theory, a contemporary artist's career is largely predetermined, moving according to a complex but logical network of connections between those with whom they collaborate.
0:03 Criteria for Assessing Creative Success
0:51 Who Discovers New Artists?
1:19 Modeling the Art World in Network Theory
2:56 "Incredible Accuracy" of Forecasts
4:50 The Role of Talent
5:25 The Difficulty of Beginners
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Original video • How To Be Creative: How an Artist Turns Pro
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