When the war ends - Chaplyga named the date / Chaplyga at the Wild
When will the war in Ukraine end? Mykhailo Chaplyga lays it all out: two windows of opportunity for negotiations this year, why Trump is hemmed in, how Zelenskyy is building diplomacy, and what the Hungarian elections have quietly changed. An honest forecast without an official agenda.
00:00 — Greetings. Vitaly Dykyi and Mykhailo Chaplyga
00:16 — The main question: when will the war end? Statement by the President of Brazil
00:44 — Chief of the Belgian General Staff: Europe needs Ukraine simply to stall for time
01:27 — Mykhailo Chaplyga: two windows of opportunity for negotiations this year
02:46 — Iran and Trump as a model: external strength + internal weakness = negotiations
03:35 — Trump is hemmed in: the Fed, elections, Congress. Why he doesn't have time
04:35 — Bifurcation point: either negotiations or a long war
12:18 — Transferring territory without a fight is a mega-betrayal Why it's politically impossible
15:36 — Two blocks of the peace agreement: military and legal
21:27 — Look at the geography of Zelenskyy's visits and you'll understand everything
27:03 — With an 80% probability: a scenario for the end of the second quarter
27:18 — Everything has changed. Why the forecast had to be revised
29:32 — The elections in Hungary quietly changed everything in Europe and NATO
39:56 — About Europe and NATO: how and why it was all created
41:02 — Putin wanted to join NATO. How it was under Yeltsin and during his first term
43:42 — NATO after the fall of the Berlin Wall — a headless chicken
1:06:25 — Results. How Mikhail sees the course of war and peace
1:06:52 — Conclusion of the interview. Acknowledgments
1:07:03 — Finale Mikhail Chaplyga, Vitaly Dykyi, Dykyi Live channel
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