The Central Bank has tightened its forecasts: what will happen to the key rate next?
April 24. Key business news from the world of economics and finance in the InvestFuture digest:
• The Central Bank cut its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5%, but simultaneously tightened its forecast for the coming years. The regulator expects a slower rate reduction and inflation to return to target only in the second half of 2026. We analyze the Central Bank's signal, the market reaction, and what will happen to deposits, loans, and the economy.
• The ruble began to weaken after the Finance Ministry announced the resumption of fiscal rule operations. The return of a major foreign currency buyer is increasing pressure on the exchange rate and could keep the dollar in the range of 76-80 rubles. We examine the reasons for the ruble's weakening and forecasts for the coming months.
• The European Union adopted the twentieth package of sanctions against Russia, including dozens of companies, banks, and vessels. The restrictions affected oil logistics, banking operations, and the re-export of equipment through third countries. We'll explore how sensitive the new package really is to the economy and the ruble exchange rate.
Timecodes from the video:
00:00 The Central Bank cut the rate to 14.5%. What's next?
07:37 The dollar is rising, the ruble is falling. What's going on?
12:04 The EU adopted the 20th sanctions package. What does it include?
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