It is quite interesting to see the ECMWF-AIFS remain quite coherent and consistent between model runs versus the dynamical numerical models, like the GFS, CMC and the icon that remain very inconsistent and not even showing this system developing.  it is going to be a huge leap, frog for the artificial model if it can pin it down really well and the system actually ends up developing.
Anyways, going to do some experimenting with the shorts tool that you provide so don’t freak out if you end up seeing more shorts than usual on this channel.