Is NOW a Good Time to Buy Gold?
Is NOW a Good Time to Buy Gold?
http://goldfinancial.de
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Most people who want to speculate want to buy something going up. The best time to buy, however, is when something has stopped going down.
It is said to be impossible to buy at the bottom and sell at the top, but there is a market asymmetry that can help an investor. It is much easier to buy at the bottom of a crushed instrument than sell at the top of a rocketing one. This is because the bottom of many markets is when no one cares to trade while the top is when everyone is thrashing around.
There will be a balancing element in there somewhere and that will be a time function. A top will be a fast market for big gainers while a bottom will be a slow one. You won’t have to wait long for the tumble from the top in a fast market but you will likely have to hang around for a rise from a low in a slow one.
These niceties need not worry the investor in the same way as they might bore the time sensitive trader. An investor isn’t looking to ride the next wild thing and doesn’t mind capital lying about waiting so much. This is especially true for the precious metal investor.
I use the word investor loosely because precious metals are, in reality, insurance, so there is an element of negative returns about holding them. This and the strong probability that commodities are a negative sum game, takes the edge off locking money up in silver and gold.
Clem ChambersClem Chambers, Contributor
Most people who want to speculate want to buy something going up. The best time to buy, however, is when something has stopped going down.
It is said to be impossible to buy at the bottom and sell at the top, but there is a market asymmetry that can help an investor. It is much easier to buy at the bottom of a crushed instrument than sell at the top of a rocketing one. This is because the bottom of many markets is when no one cares to trade while the top is when everyone is thrashing around.
There will be a balancing element in there somewhere and that will be a time function. A top will be a fast market for big gainers while a bottom will be a slow one. You won’t have to wait long for the tumble from the top in a fast market but you will likely have to hang around for a rise from a low in a slow one.
These niceties need not worry the investor in the same way as they might bore the time sensitive trader. An investor isn’t looking to ride the next wild thing and doesn’t mind capital lying about waiting so much. This is especially true for the precious metal investor.
I use the word investor loosely because precious metals are, in reality, insurance, so there is an element of negative returns about holding them. This and the strong probability that commodities are a negative sum game, takes the edge off locking money up in silver and gold.
Technicals aside the two big questions to decide on holding gold and silver are:
Do you think something catastrophic is likely happen in the next 5-10 years?
Do you believe your currency will be heavily debased in the next 5 years?
If you think that either 1 or 2 is probable then you should hold a good chunk of your wealth in precious metals. If you do not, then gold and silver do not hold much attraction.
Yet there is always a good time to buy and the right time to sell. For gold and silver this could be it. The gold price has retraced 50% from its low to high. This is a classic level basing for heavily falling instruments.
http://www.forbes.com/sites/investor/...
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