Has Russia Lost? A Strategic View. The Logic of Attrition. Dubov, Vigirinsky
We analyze an article by Valery Zaluzhny, who notes that the current Russian-Ukrainian war is increasingly taking on the characteristics of a war of attrition, in which tactical successes no longer determine the strategic outcome.
Claims of "Russia's defeat" are premature. Neither side today has the ability to achieve a decisive military victory solely by force.
Particular attention is paid to the role of international support for Ukraine, the transformation of NATO's strategic culture, and the need for a new European security concept. The article proposes to view the war not through the prism of state resilience, economic resources, and the ability of societies to withstand a protracted conflict.
00:00 Article by Valery Zaluzhny
02:07 Level of trust in Zaluzhny and Zelensky
06:26 Why it's too early to consider Russia has lost the war
08:30 War of attrition and parity on the battlefield
11:53 Butusov's comments on the situation on the front and real losses
14:40 What does victory mean in today's reality
16:47 Anti-missile coalition, winter aid packages
22:05 Ukraine's dependence on US intelligence and the risks of declining international support
24:40 Forecasts for 2028–2035: What are the expectations for the end of the war based on?
26:00 The symbolic significance of summits
28:37 A land corridor to Crimea: physical occupation no longer guarantees security
31:40 A decisive factor in the resilience of societies
34:05 The problems of NATO's strategic culture
37:35 Internal disagreements within NATO
41:55 Assessing Ukraine's real dependence on the US
45:00 The future of European security
47:00 Announcement of the next episode on Eurasian security, results
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