How to Create a Dynamic NFL Football Expected Value Betting Model
👉 Free Downloads: Half-Point Spread and Total Calculators:
📺 • How to Calculate NFL Half Point Total Valu...
📺 • How to Calculate NFL Half Point Spread Val...
In this video, I am going to show you how to easily create an Excel based NFL Football sports betting model. This model will identify positive expected value sports bets. Within the model I will show you how to Copy and Paste Sharp Odds from Pinnacle into Excel to make updating the model extremely fast and simple. The model will utilize the Kelly Criterion formula to calculate the optimal bet size for each positive expected value betting opportunity. Dynamic Half-Point Spread and Total logic in the model allows you to line shop across multiple values. Utilize this model for the upcoming 2024 NFL Football season and get to placing bets for opening night!
**Timestamps**
0:00 Introduction and Overview
0:32 What is a Positive Expected Value Bet (+EV)
2:00 Source of Data for Model and Calculation Logic
3:39 Walkthrough of the Excel Model
4:02 Copying in Pinnacle Data and Updating Matchups
6:17 Line Shopping for Opportunities with Examples
8:18 Spread | Handicap and Total | Over/Under +EV Bets
11:40 Conclusion and Final Thoughts
🏈 Completed Template(s) Available For Purchase:
--- Excel | https://excelbets.com/nfl-football-pi...
--- Google Sheets | https://excelbets.com/nfl-football-pi...
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Disclaimer: The affiliate links above may provide me with a commission for purchases made through the link, but these are a product I use and highly recommend. All information in the video is strictly for information purposes only, author assumes no liability for any bets/wagers placed utilizing the information covered in the video.