Why Technical Analysis Fails. Inelastic Markets Changes Everything!

Опубликовано: 22 Март 2026
на канале: SpeculatorSeth Day Trading
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The inelastic markets hypothesis is currently our best explanation for how financial markets behaves, and destroys the efficient market hypothesis. It not only answers longstanding question about markets, but provides a solid framework to begin building day trading strategies with.

In Search of the Origins of Financial Fluctuations: The Inelastic Markets Hypothesis
Xavier Gabaix & Ralph S. J. Koijen
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.c...

The Inelastic Market Hypothesis: A Microstructural Interpretation
Jean-Phillipe Bouchaud
https://arxiv.org/abs/2108.00242

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Hypothetical Performance Disclosure:

Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. no representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown; in fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk of actual trading. for example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all which can adversely affect trading results.
https://www.speculatorseth.com/disclo...