Defense and aerospace testing commonly involves binary responses to changing levels of a system configuration or an explanatory variable. Examples of binary responses are hit or miss, detect or not detect, and success or fail, and they are a special case of categorical responses with multiple discreet levels. The test objective is typically to estimate a statistical model that predicts the probability of occurrence of the binary response as a function of the explanatory variable(s). Statistical approaches are readily available for modeling binary responses; however, they often assume that the design features large sample sizes that provide responses distributed across the range of the explanatory variable. In practice, these assumptions are often challenged by small sample sizes and response levels focused over a limited range of the explanatory variable(s). These practical restrictions are due to experimentation cost, operational constraints, and a primary interest in one response level, e.g., testing may be more focused on hits compared to a misses. This presentation provides strategies to address these challenges with an emphasis on collaboration techniques to develop experimental design approaches under practical constraints. Case studies are presented to illustrate these strategies from estimating human annoyance to low noise supersonic overflights in NASA’s Quesst mission and evaluating detection capability of nondestructive evaluation methods for fracture-critical human-spaceflight components. This presentation offers practical guidance on experimental design strategies for binary responses under operational constraints.
Session Materials: https://dataworks.testscience.org/wp-...