Forex Trading Insights: Major Pairs Based on Dollar Trends

Опубликовано: 16 Июль 2026
на канале: Top Trading Pros
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Forex Trading Insights: Major Pairs Based on Dollar Trends

Outline

I. Overview of Dollar Trending Lower

Dollar falling below last 2 weeks' open
Testing top of February's lows
Potential support around 103.750
Bearish news expected tomorrow could push dollar lower

II. Impact of Services and Manufacturing Data Tomorrow

Reports coming at 9:45 AM EST
If dollar drops, could test 103.750 support
If positive data, dollar could bounce to 104.250 resistance

III. Analysis of Major Currency Pairs

EUR/USD
Losing support, watching for fresh breakdown
Bullish news could trigger breakout above 108.500

GBP/USD
Making higher lows, next resistance at 126.500

AUD/USD
Trading sideways around 65.500 minor wildcard
Bullish dollar data could test 65.750 minor quarter

NZD/USD
Continuing uptrend, getting closer to 62 target
Tomorrow could be breakout day

USD/JPY
Fresh breakout, watching 150.750 on bullish dollar data
Otherwise could retest 150 major quarter

IV. Conclusion

Key levels outlined for major pairs based on dollar direction
Manufacturing and services data likely catalyst tomorrow
Upside and downside scenarios analyzed for each pair
Questions welcome on any trading ideas discussed


Summary

Forex Trading Pro Matt provided technical analysis on the downtrending US dollar, which broke below the last 2 weeks' open and is testing the top of February's lows near support around 103.750. He discussed the potential impact of upcoming manufacturing and services data, with a bearish dollar reaction possibly testing 103.750 while positive data could bounce the dollar to 104.250 resistance.

Matt outlined key levels for major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD, and USD/JPY based on bullish or bearish dollar reactions to tomorrow's data. He provided upside and downside scenario analysis for each pair, noting EUR/USD could break out above 108.500, GBP/USD faces resistance at 126.500, AUD/USD is trading sideways around 65.500 minor wildcard, NZD/USD is approaching its 62 target, and USD/JPY could hit 150.750 or retest 150 on dollar moves. Matt welcomed questions on the major forex trading ideas discussed in his technical analysis.


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